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Investolution Probabilistic Forecast Charts are generated daily to predict major stock market indices. Each stock market prediction generates a stochastic distribution of the maximum and minimum percent price change expected in the next 40 trading days.
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Dow Jones Forecast
Dow Jones Prediction Summary
This page contains the prediction for Dow Jones Industrial Average minimum and maximum daily closing prices over the next 40 trading days.
It is predicted that Dow Jones Industrial Average will not close under 10,992 and over 11,727 between the dates July 3, 2008 and August 28, 2008. This prediction method was accurate for 90.0% and 92.0% of the cases (for minimum and maximum predictions, respectively) within an error margin of +-5% in the past.
This page was last updated on July 03 2008 17:57:52Dow Jones 40 Day Prediction Chart
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Rule |
Price |
Min Close |
Min Change |
Min Size |
Max Close |
Max Change |
Max Size |
Score |
|
| WMEAN | 11,289 | 10,992 | -2.63% | 523 | 11,727 | 3.89% | 524 | 5.36 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 9,893 and 12,091 is 99.0% |  |
(+/-10%) 10,555 and 12,900 is 100.0% |  |
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| (+/-5%) 10,443 and 11,542 is 90.0% | |
(+/-5%) 11,141 and 12,314 is 92.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 10,772 and 11,212 is 51.0% | |
(+/-2%) 11,493 and 11,962 is 54.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 10,882 and 11,102 is 25.0% | |
(+/-1%) 11,610 and 11,845 is 27.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 10,937 and 11,047 is 12.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 11,669 and 11,786 is 13.0% | |
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| MEAN | 11,289 | 10,985 | -2.69% | 525 | 11,725 | 3.86% | 525 | 5.33 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 9,886 and 12,083 is 99.0% | |
(+/-10%) 10,552 and 12,897 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 10,436 and 11,534 is 90.0% | |
(+/-5%) 11,139 and 12,311 is 91.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 10,765 and 11,204 is 51.0% | |
(+/-2%) 11,490 and 11,959 is 54.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 10,875 and 11,095 is 24.0% | |
(+/-1%) 11,608 and 11,842 is 27.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 10,930 and 11,040 is 12.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 11,666 and 11,783 is 13.0% | |
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| TOPABOVE80 | 11,289 | 11,035 | -2.25% | 345 | 11,868 | 5.14% | 344 | 5.28 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 9,931 and 12,138 is 97.0% | |
(+/-10%) 10,682 and 13,055 is 98.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 10,483 and 11,587 is 88.0% | |
(+/-5%) 11,275 and 12,462 is 89.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 10,814 and 11,256 is 46.0% | |
(+/-2%) 11,631 and 12,106 is 54.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 10,925 and 11,145 is 24.0% | |
(+/-1%) 11,750 and 11,987 is 29.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 10,980 and 11,090 is 15.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 11,809 and 11,928 is 13.0% | |
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| MEDIAN | 11,289 | 11,056 | -2.06% | 525 | 11,688 | 3.54% | 525 | 5.28 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 9,951 and 12,162 is 98.0% | |
(+/-10%) 10,519 and 12,857 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 10,503 and 11,609 is 89.0% | |
(+/-5%) 11,104 and 12,272 is 92.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 10,835 and 11,277 is 48.0% | |
(+/-2%) 11,454 and 11,922 is 54.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 10,946 and 11,167 is 24.0% | |
(+/-1%) 11,571 and 11,805 is 26.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 11,001 and 11,111 is 11.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 11,630 and 11,747 is 12.0% | |
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