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Investolution Probabilistic Forecast Charts are generated daily to predict major stock market indices. Each stock market prediction generates a stochastic distribution of the maximum and minimum percent price change expected in the next 40 trading days.
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NYSE Forecast
NYSE Prediction Summary
This page contains the prediction for NYSE minimum and maximum daily closing prices over the next 40 trading days.
It is predicted that NYSE Composite Index will not close under 8,214 and over 8,822 between the dates July 3, 2008 and August 28, 2008. This prediction method was accurate for 82.0% and 95.0% of the cases (for minimum and maximum predictions, respectively) within an error margin of +-5% in the past.
This page was last updated on July 03 2008 18:27:24NYSE 40 Day Prediction Chart
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Rule |
Price |
Min Close |
Min Change |
Min Size |
Max Close |
Max Change |
Max Size |
Score |
|
| MEDIAN | 8,482 | 8,214 | -3.16% | 543 | 8,822 | 4.02% | 543 | 5.41 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 7,392 and 9,035 is 99.0% |  |
(+/-10%) 7,940 and 9,705 is 100.0% |  |
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| (+/-5%) 7,803 and 8,625 is 82.0% | |
(+/-5%) 8,381 and 9,264 is 95.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 8,050 and 8,378 is 51.0% | |
(+/-2%) 8,646 and 8,999 is 63.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 8,132 and 8,296 is 19.0% | |
(+/-1%) 8,734 and 8,911 is 36.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 8,173 and 8,255 is 8.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 8,778 and 8,866 is 16.0% | |
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| WMEAN | 8,482 | 8,216 | -3.13% | 522 | 8,832 | 4.13% | 525 | 5.38 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 7,394 and 9,037 is 99.0% | |
(+/-10%) 7,948 and 9,715 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 7,805 and 8,627 is 83.0% | |
(+/-5%) 8,390 and 9,273 is 95.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 8,052 and 8,380 is 48.0% | |
(+/-2%) 8,655 and 9,008 is 64.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 8,134 and 8,298 is 18.0% | |
(+/-1%) 8,743 and 8,920 is 36.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 8,175 and 8,257 is 8.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 8,787 and 8,876 is 16.0% | |
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| MEAN | 8,482 | 8,205 | -3.26% | 543 | 8,829 | 4.1% | 543 | 5.33 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 7,385 and 9,026 is 99.0% | |
(+/-10%) 7,946 and 9,712 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 7,795 and 8,615 is 83.0% | |
(+/-5%) 8,388 and 9,271 is 95.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 8,041 and 8,369 is 48.0% | |
(+/-2%) 8,653 and 9,006 is 63.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 8,123 and 8,287 is 16.0% | |
(+/-1%) 8,741 and 8,917 is 35.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 8,164 and 8,246 is 7.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 8,785 and 8,873 is 15.0% | |
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| TOPABOVE80 | 8,482 | No Prediction | No Prediction | 403 | No Prediction | No Prediction | 410 | 5.26 | |