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Investolution Probabilistic Forecast Charts are generated daily to predict major stock market indices. Each stock market prediction generates a stochastic distribution of the maximum and minimum percent price change expected in the next 40 trading days.
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Nasdaq Forecast
Nasdaq Prediction Summary
This page contains the prediction for Nasdaq minimum and maximum daily closing prices over the next 40 trading days.
It is predicted that Nasdaq Composite will not close under 2,182 and over 2,351 between the dates July 3, 2008 and August 28, 2008. This prediction method was accurate for 76.0% and 81.0% of the cases (for minimum and maximum predictions, respectively) within an error margin of +-5% in the past.
This page was last updated on July 03 2008 18:07:38Nasdaq 40 Day Prediction Chart
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Rule |
Price |
Min Close |
Min Change |
Min Size |
Max Close |
Max Change |
Max Size |
Score |
|
| MEDIAN | 2,245 | 2,182 | -2.82% | 271 | 2,351 | 4.71% | 271 | 4.6 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 1,964 and 2,400 is 92.0% |  |
(+/-10%) 2,116 and 2,586 is 98.0% |  |
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| (+/-5%) 2,073 and 2,291 is 76.0% | |
(+/-5%) 2,233 and 2,469 is 81.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 2,138 and 2,226 is 39.0% | |
(+/-2%) 2,304 and 2,398 is 43.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 2,160 and 2,204 is 16.0% | |
(+/-1%) 2,328 and 2,375 is 21.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 2,171 and 2,193 is 7.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 2,339 and 2,363 is 12.0% | |
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| MEAN | 2,245 | 2,156 | -4% | 271 | 2,352 | 4.73% | 271 | 4.43 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 1,940 and 2,371 is 92.0% | |
(+/-10%) 2,116 and 2,587 is 95.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 2,048 and 2,263 is 76.0% | |
(+/-5%) 2,234 and 2,469 is 73.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 2,113 and 2,199 is 42.0% | |
(+/-2%) 2,305 and 2,399 is 33.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 2,134 and 2,177 is 19.0% | |
(+/-1%) 2,328 and 2,375 is 17.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 2,145 and 2,166 is 8.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 2,340 and 2,363 is 11.0% | |
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| WMEAN | 2,245 | 2,157 | -3.93% | 270 | 2,352 | 4.77% | 270 | 4.42 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 1,941 and 2,373 is 92.0% | |
(+/-10%) 2,117 and 2,588 is 95.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 2,049 and 2,265 is 76.0% | |
(+/-5%) 2,235 and 2,470 is 72.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 2,114 and 2,200 is 43.0% | |
(+/-2%) 2,305 and 2,400 is 32.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 2,136 and 2,179 is 19.0% | |
(+/-1%) 2,329 and 2,376 is 16.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 2,146 and 2,168 is 10.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 2,341 and 2,364 is 11.0% | |
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| TOPABOVE80 | 2,245 | 2,198 | -2.13% | 200 | 2,381 | 6.05% | 193 | 4.08 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 1,978 and 2,417 is 88.0% | |
(+/-10%) 2,143 and 2,619 is 93.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 2,088 and 2,307 is 71.0% | |
(+/-5%) 2,262 and 2,500 is 66.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 2,154 and 2,242 is 28.0% | |
(+/-2%) 2,334 and 2,429 is 35.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 2,176 and 2,220 is 15.0% | |
(+/-1%) 2,357 and 2,405 is 18.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 2,187 and 2,209 is 6.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 2,369 and 2,393 is 10.0% | |
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