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Investolution Probabilistic Forecast Charts are generated daily to predict major stock market indices. Each stock market prediction generates a stochastic distribution of the maximum and minimum percent price change expected in the next 40 trading days.
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TSX Forecast
TSX Prediction Summary
This page contains the prediction for TSX minimum and maximum daily closing prices over the next 40 trading days.
It is predicted that S&P TSX Composite will not close under 13,963 and over 15,110 between the dates June 30, 2008 and August 25, 2008. This prediction method was accurate for 78.0% and 94.0% of the cases (for minimum and maximum predictions, respectively) within an error margin of +-5% in the past.
This page was last updated on July 01 2008 13:57:36TSX 40 Day Prediction Chart
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Rule |
Price |
Min Close |
Min Change |
Min Size |
Max Close |
Max Change |
Max Size |
Score |
|
| WMEAN | 14,467 | 13,963 | -3.48% | 147 | 15,110 | 4.44% | 147 | 5.02 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 12,567 and 15,360 is 97.0% |  |
(+/-10%) 13,599 and 16,620 is 100.0% |  |
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| (+/-5%) 13,265 and 14,661 is 78.0% | |
(+/-5%) 14,354 and 15,865 is 94.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 13,684 and 14,243 is 46.0% | |
(+/-2%) 14,807 and 15,412 is 46.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 13,824 and 14,103 is 23.0% | |
(+/-1%) 14,958 and 15,261 is 21.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 13,893 and 14,033 is 14.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 15,034 and 15,185 is 9.0% | |
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| MEAN | 14,467 | 13,944 | -3.62% | 147 | 15,126 | 4.55% | 147 | 5 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 12,549 and 15,338 is 98.0% | |
(+/-10%) 13,613 and 16,639 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 13,246 and 14,641 is 78.0% | |
(+/-5%) 14,370 and 15,882 is 94.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 13,665 and 14,222 is 46.0% | |
(+/-2%) 14,823 and 15,428 is 45.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 13,804 and 14,083 is 24.0% | |
(+/-1%) 14,975 and 15,277 is 20.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 13,874 and 14,013 is 12.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 15,050 and 15,202 is 9.0% | |
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| MEDIAN | 14,467 | 13,940 | -3.65% | 147 | 15,104 | 4.4% | 147 | 4.96 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 12,546 and 15,334 is 97.0% | |
(+/-10%) 13,594 and 16,615 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 13,243 and 14,637 is 78.0% | |
(+/-5%) 14,349 and 15,859 is 93.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 13,661 and 14,218 is 48.0% | |
(+/-2%) 14,802 and 15,406 is 43.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 13,800 and 14,079 is 21.0% | |
(+/-1%) 14,953 and 15,255 is 21.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 13,870 and 14,009 is 12.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 15,029 and 15,180 is 8.0% | |
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| TOPABOVE80 | 14,467 | 14,059 | -2.82% | 77 | 15,070 | 4.17% | 79 | 4.69 | |
| Probability of minimum close to be between | Probability of maximum close to be between | ||||||||
| (+/-10%) 12,653 and 15,465 is 98.0% | |
(+/-10%) 13,563 and 16,577 is 100.0% | |
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| (+/-5%) 13,356 and 14,762 is 68.0% | |
(+/-5%) 14,317 and 15,824 is 93.0% | |
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| (+/-2%) 13,778 and 14,340 is 33.0% | |
(+/-2%) 14,769 and 15,371 is 41.0% | |
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| (+/-1%) 13,919 and 14,200 is 15.0% | |
(+/-1%) 14,919 and 15,221 is 27.0% | |
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| (+/-0.5%) 13,989 and 14,129 is 6.0% | |
(+/-0.5%) 14,995 and 15,145 is 12.0% | |
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